UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs PyfervsRun Your Own Matchup
UFCmmaMain EventMiddleweight
Israel Adesanya
24-3
Joe Pyfer
13-3
Sat, Mar 28, 2026
Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, WA
Stored Prediction · 7 data pts
Adesanya 89%11% Pyfer
Israel Adesanya— Strong Lean
Method Prediction
40%
KO/TKO
13%
Submission
47%
Decision
Key Factors
5" reach advantage is significant — controls distance and landing zone
Southpaw stance creates unfamiliar angles — historically a 3% statistical edge
Fighter A has a significant striking advantage (+15 pts)
60-Second Dossier
The engine leans Israel Adesanya at 88.8% probability, with Decision as the predicted method. The biggest skill gap is in Fight IQ, where Israel Adesanya holds the advantage. Joe Pyfer has a viable path through knockout power but must overcome a 88.8% probability gap to pull the upset.
Stored prediction based on publicly available data. Not betting advice. For analysis and entertainment. What you do with this information is your edge.