Fundora vs Thurman: WBC Junior MiddleweightvsRun Your Own Matchup
Prime Video PPVboxingMain EventJunior Middleweight
Sebastian Fundora
21-1-1
Keith Thurman
30-2-1
Sat, Mar 28, 2026
Las Vegas, NV
Stored Prediction · 7 data pts
Fundora 41%59% Thurman
Keith Thurman— Competitive
Method Prediction
57%
KO/TKO
43%
Decision
Key Factors
9" reach advantage is significant — controls distance and landing zone
Southpaw stance creates unfamiliar angles — historically a 3% statistical edge
60-Second Dossier
The engine leans Keith Thurman at 58.9% probability, with KO/TKO as the predicted method. The biggest skill gap is in Chin/Durability, where Keith Thurman holds the advantage. Sebastian Fundora has a viable path through knockout power but must overcome a 58.9% probability gap to pull the upset.
Stored prediction based on publicly available data. Not betting advice. For analysis and entertainment. What you do with this information is your edge.